Oil prices will rally according to IEA report

22. February, 2016 News No comments
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Though trying to predict oil prices is said to be a fools game it is very hard to stay away from questioning. Especially because this market is volatile and the political situation is the main determinant. After watching prices crash through floor after floor in the worst slump for a generation, the industry is eager for answers and it gets it- the IEA predicts that global oil supply and demand to rebalance in coming years.

International Energy Agency is at the heart of global dialogue on energy, providing authoritative statistics and analysis. In its annual report, which was released today, says that the market will begin rebalancing in 2017 – and by 2021 the United States and Iran are seen leading production gains among non-OPEC and OPEC countries, respectively. This view is predicated on the expectation that U.S. shale oil production drops 600,000 bpd this year, and by 200,000 bpd in 2017. The IEA projects that global oversupply will be wiped out by 2018. Once the market will start to rebalance, prices will rise also, the availability of easy resources will rally. Thanks to efficiency gains IEA speculates growth of production by 1.2 million bpd in U.S. and global oil supply to rise by 4.1 million bpd from 2015-2021.

According to energy market long-term speculations are the most suitable. So far, shale bankruptcies have been limited to smaller outfits, the one thing the stress on companies hasn’t done is destroy production. Meanwhile, on the international scene, the Saudi-Russian accord announced Tuesday, to which Venezuela and Qatar have also signed up, would cap production at January’s levels.

See more: www.iea.org; www.bloomberg.com, www.oilprice.com

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